预测延吉市电话社会拥有量的数学模型研究  

Study on Mathematical Model of Forecasting Social Possessive Quanhty of Yanji's Telephone

作　　者：尹锡杰 石曙光 许虎男 金东 

出　　处：《延边大学学报（自然科学版）》1994年第4期5-10,共6页Journal of Yanbian University（Natural Science Edition）

摘　　要：本文运用Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ模型和指数函数模型等统计方法，对延吉市电话社会拥有量的发展趋势进行分析与预测，找出影响消费的社会经济发展与心理因素，以利于有关人员对城市程控交换机的发展规划进行决策，并为它提供科学依据．This paper applies statistical methods of Logistic model and exponentical function modelto analyse and forcest socil possessive quantity of yanji's telephone. So as to find out the socialeconomic development factor and psychological factor which affect consumption. From this,atheoretical basis is provided for correlative members to make scientific policy of programmecontrolled exchange.

关 键 词：LOGISTIC模型 指数函数模型 电话 社会拥有量 

分 类 号：F632.3[经济管理—产业经济]