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作 者:李永莉[1] 苏有锦[1] 田秀美[1] 钱晓东[1]
机构地区:[1]云南省地震局,昆明650041
出 处:《地震研究》2005年第2期114-118,共5页Journal of Seismological Research
基 金:云南省"十五"重大项目--云南地震预测预报实用化技术系统建设;国家"十五"科技攻关项目(2004BA601B01-04-02)资助.
摘 要:分析大姚6.2,6.1级间歇性双震地震序列的地震波、地震活动变化,以类比方法分析了同震型的1976年盐源—宁蒗6.7,6.4级地震序列,1971年普洱6.7,6.2级地震序列,寻求第二主震的前震活动特征,结果表明:大姚6.2级与盐源—宁蒗6.7级序列中均出现一组P,S波振幅比为直线的前震;双震序列在第一主震后20~60d内,出现3,4级地震频度增高与b值、h值偏离余震衰减准同步异常的现象,第二主震临震前数天出现3,4级地震平静,与第二主震时间间隔仅2~9h,相距震中8km内发生3级显著地震。为预测预报间歇性双震序列的第二主震提供了一定判据。Through comparing and analyzing the seismic wave and seismicity variation of three groups of intermittent-type double shock sequences, the 2003 Dayao M6.2, 6.1, 1976 Yanyuan-Ninglang M6.7, 6.4, 1971 Pu’er M6.7, 6.2 earthquake sequences, we studied the foreshock features of their second mainshocks. It is found that there existed a group of foresocks, the amplitude ratio of P wave to S wave of which is a direct line, in the Dayao and Yanyuan-Ninglang earthquake sequences. For every double shock sequence, in 20-60 days after the first main shock, the M3-4 events rose and b-value and h-value deviated to the normal value of the sequence; but in several days before the second mainshock, the M3-4 events were calm; until 2-9 hours before the second mainshock, there was obvious M3 earthquake occurred within 8km from the first epicenter. These foreshock features can provide some opinion for predicting the second mainshock of intermittent-type double shocks.
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