基于证据推理的信息不完全确定的MCDM方法  

Method for multi-criteria decision with indefinite information based on evidential reasoning and its application

作　　者：王坚强[1] 何波[2] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学商学院,湖南长沙410083 [2]株洲工学院计算机系,湖南株洲412008

出　　处：《系统工程与电子技术》2005年第4期659-661,共3页Systems Engineering and Electronics

基　　金：南方期货期货证券研究中心基金 (0 40 8) ;湖南省国民经济和社会发展"十一五"规划项目基金 (2 0 0 4-2 )资助课题

摘　　要：针对权系数为信息不完全确定、准则值不确定且不完全的多准则决策问题,提出了一种基于证据推理的方法。该方法先对决策者给出的权系数不完全确定信息进行分析,得到一组可利用的基数权重,然后将方案的准则值(不确定且不完全)用基于证据推理的算法进行集成,比较方案集在所有基数权重下的效用值的大小,从而确定方案集的排序。A method for multi-criteria decision based on evidential reasoning is proposed, so that the multi-criteria decision problem with indefinite information and indefinite criteria values is solved. First, by analyzing the indefinite information of weight coefficients given by decision maker, a group of cardinal weights are attained. Then the alternative's criteria values are integrated by evidential reasoning approach. The utilities of the alternatives under all the cardinal weights are compared, then the ranking of the alternatives is determined. Finally, an example is given to show the feasibility and availability of this method.

关 键 词：多准则决策 证据推理 信息不完全确定 排序 

分 类 号：C934[经济管理—管理学]