电力系统整体可靠性研究  

Research on united reliability of electricity generation system

作　　者：唐子烨[1] 马宪国[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学动力工程学院,上海200093

出　　处：《上海理工大学学报》2005年第2期127-130,共4页Journal of University of Shanghai For Science and Technology

基　　金：上海市高等学校科学技术发展基金资助项目(01F08)

摘　　要：提出了利用MonteCarlo模拟算法计算电力系统整体可靠性的方法.建立了电力系统运作过程的数学描述模型以及影响电力系统可靠性因素的概率模型,给出了上海市2002年电力系统整体可靠性的模拟计算结果,指出了该计算方法在系统评估和系统规划方面的应用前景.A Monte-Carlo simulation method for united reliability of electricity generation system is presented. A mathematics model of running of electricity generation system and a probability model for considering the influential facters on the system are set up. Finally, a simulating calculation example for united reliability of Shanghai electricity generation systems in 2002 is given, and application prospect of this method in system evaluation and programming is also pointed out.

关 键 词：电力系统 可靠性 模拟计算 概率 

分 类 号：TE02[石油与天然气工程] TK01[动力工程及工程热物理]