对地震预测研究发展方向的思考  

Thoughts on the Development of Earthquake Prediction Research

作　　者：朱传镇[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《国际地震动态》2005年第5期36-38,共3页Recent Developments in World Seismology

摘　　要：基于国际地球科学研究的发展趋势,结合我国地震预测研究的现状,作者对未来我国地震预测研究的发展方向,提出以下几点看法和建议①强调要从地球系统科学的角度,研究地球现象的发生和发展;②建议在选定的地震危险重点监视区,开展密集和综合的地震和地球物理观测,以及资料的深入分析;③加强对板内地震发生物理全过程的基础研究,培养一批高素质的理论研究人才;④充分重视和利用亚洲地震委员会的平台,推动亚太地区地震和防震、减灾的合作研究。Based on the international research tendency of earth sciences, combining with t he reality of earhtquake prediction study in China, several suggestions on the f urther development of earthquake prediction research in China have been proposed as follows: ① Study on the earth phenomenon and its variations from earth syst em point of view shouldBe emphasized; ② It is suggested that a dense and compr ehansive seismic as well as geophysical Observations should be carried out in th e key earthquake monitoring area; ③ Strengthening the basic Research on the com plete physical process of an intraplate earthquake, paying more attention to Tra in personnel with sound theoretical background; ④ By using the platform of Asi an Seismological Commission, to promote the cooperation research on earthquake p rediction and earthquake disaster Reduction in the Asia and Pacific region.

关 键 词：地球系统 地震预测 亚洲地震委员会 

分 类 号：P315.75[天文地球—地震学]