出口贸易对我国经济增长效用的地区差异性研究  

Export and Provincial Economic Growth in China:A VECM Approach to Growth Empirics

作　　者：李建春[1] 陈瑶[2] 张宗益[2] 

机构地区：[1]重庆市对外贸易经济委员会 [2]重庆大学

出　　处：《财贸经济》2005年第5期65-70,共6页Finance & Trade Economics

摘　　要：出口对经济增长效用的发挥受到许多条件制约,鉴于我国经济发展水平及结构在地域上呈现分化态势,针对单一省(市)的实证评价更显得意义重大。本文采用协整VAR模型以省(市)为单位检验了出口贸易和省(市)经济增长之间的协整关系、长期均衡关系、因果关系以及出口贸易对经济增长的作用渠道,并最终为出口贸易在我国各省(市)与经济增长之间因果关系、长期均衡关系及作用渠道的差异性分布提供解释。Factors affect the relationship between export and economic growth can be multiple. In view of heterogeneity, it has been repeatedly indicated that time-series evidence based on single economies experience would be the best approach. Thus, given the disparity of China' s economic growth, it might be more appropriate to employ provincial level data in investigating the relationship between export and economic growth. In this paper, coin tegrated vector auto-regression model (VECM, Vector Error Correction Model) is employed. The cointegration, long-run relationship, causal relationship between export and economic growth, and channels of export that may contribute to economic growth are tested based on provincial data.

关 键 词：出口贸易 经济增长 VECM 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]