骚扰阿蚊监测中SAS统计方法的应用与探讨  

Application the Statistical Method of SAS to Analysis the Influencing Factors of trapping Amount of Armigeres subbalbeatus

作　　者：彭建军[1] 霍新北[2] 李兆凰 张世水[2] 宫学涛[2] 景晓 

机构地区：[1]山东省济南市天桥区疾病预防控制中心,250014 [2]山东省疾病预防控制中心,250014 [3]山东省济南市历下区卫生防疫站,250014

出　　处：《医学动物防制》2005年第6期445-446,共2页Journal of Medical Pest Control

摘　　要：目的:对具有时间序列特性的骚扰阿蚊种群活动进行SAS数学分析与探讨,从而建立起影响阿蚊种群活动的数学模型。方法:通过人帐诱捕法、网捕法等捕获成蚊,并记录同时刻的环境气象因素。应用SAS数学统计方法,进行线形多元性回归模型的分析。结果:对骚扰阿蚊种群活动有明显作用的为前一小时的捕蚊数、风速和温度,而相对湿度和光照度相对较弱。结论:SAS数学分析为预测影响骚扰阿蚊种群的夜间活动趋势提供了可靠的方法。Objective: Application the statistical method of SAS to analysis the influencing factors of trapping a-mount and to build a mathematical model of the Armigeres subbalbeatus. Methods: Apply these ways of the mosquito net trap and catching with a net to catch mosquitoes, and record the meteorological factors in the catching hour. Then, application the statistical method of SAS to analysis the model of linear polynomial regression equation. Results: The trapping amount before a hour, wind speed and atmospheric temperature were three primary factors that influenced the trapping amount, other environmental factors are relatively weaker. Conclusion: the statistical of SAS is an important method to forecast the evening active of Armigeres subbalbeatus.

关 键 词：SAS 骚扰阿蚊 监测 数学统计方法 数学分析 蚊种群 序列特性 数学模型 气象因素 回归模型 相对湿度 夜间活动 诱捕法 多元性 光照度 

分 类 号：R766.43[医药卫生—耳鼻咽喉科] R184.31[医药卫生—临床医学]