宁夏区域精细化温度预报业务平台  

Operational Platform of Refined Regional Temperature Forecasting for Ningxia Province

作　　者：丁建军[1] 胡文东[1] 丁永红 陈晓娟 穆建华 

机构地区：[1]宁夏回族自治区气象局气象防灾减灾重点实验室 [2]宁夏气象台,银川750002

出　　处：《气象科技》2005年第3期283-288,共6页Meteorological Science and Technology

基　　金：中国气象局"中尺度预报数值模式和预报产品在宁夏新一代天气预报业务技术中的推广应用"项目;宁夏回族自治区自然科学基金(A1017)资助

摘　　要：介绍以宁夏中尺度数值模式温度预报为基础,以宁夏精细化预报系统温度预报产品为核心,结合自动气象站等多种资料,以图形方式显示、修改和制作宁夏各站逐时温度预报业务平台。该平台以宁夏各地区代表站与该地区其它站之间的回归方程的计算量为依据,在温度预报物理过程不变的情况下,通过修改曲线的方式,完成对大数据量温度预报值的订正。该平台的建成,为制作高时间密度的预报提供了技术支撑。An operational platform of refined temperature forecasting was developed based on a meso-scale numerical weather forecast model for Ningxia Province. It can produce, modify and display the hour-to-hour air temperature forecasts for all the stations of Ningxia Province in graphic mode. By means of the regression model of the central meteorological station and the other stations in the same area, the temperature forecast adjustment for all the stations in Ningxia Province can be conducted easily by adjusting temporal curves under the condition of the physical processes relative to temperature forecasting keeping unchanged. It provides a sound support to the system of refined weather forecasting.

关 键 词：温度预报 业务平台 精细化 宁夏 中尺度数值模式 自动气象站 预报产品 系统温度 图形方式 回归方程 物理过程 大数据量 技术支撑 计算量 代表站 预报值 制作 

分 类 号：P457.3[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] TN915[电子电信—通信与信息系统]