中国建筑业产出增长因素分析  

Factors Contributing to the Growth of China's Construction Industry

作　　者：陆歆弘[1] 金维兴[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海大学国际工商与管理学院,上海201800 [2]西安建筑科技大学建筑经济研究所,西安710055

出　　处：《上海大学学报（自然科学版）》2005年第3期320-325,共6页Journal of Shanghai University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70173037)

摘　　要：该文运用经济增长的研究方法,通过研究中国建筑业的资本投入、劳动投入与建筑业增加值之间的关系,分析中国建筑业产出增长的源泉.以1990、1995、1997、2000年的中国投入产出表分解测算了中国建筑业1990～2000年产出增长中的智能进步、规模经济、外延产出各自的增长和贡献率.研究结果发现,中国建筑业1990～2000年的产出主要来源于资本的投入,且极易受国家宏观经济和房地产业的影响;全要素生产率在1997～2000年的贡献率上升最快,但智能进步的贡献率不高.Economic growth has been a hot research topic, and growth of construction industry deserves special attention due to its importance in the national economy. This paper investigates the relationship between inputs of capitals and labor, and the total output in China's construction industry in order to find the causes of the growth. With the aid of the Input-Output Table of China, the increase and contributions of intelligence progress, scale of the economy and the extensive output to China's construction output between 1990 and 2000 are measured and analyzed. The results show that the main source of construction output has been capital input during the 1990s, and the industry is susceptible to the fluctuation of macro economy and the real estate market. The contribution of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) rose rapidly during 1997～2000. Meanwhile the intelligence progress has not been a major factor in the contribution to the output growth.

关 键 词：中国建筑业 增长因素 因素贡献率 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F28[经济管理—国民经济] TU1[建筑科学—建筑理论]