国民经济第三产业发展预测的等维新息模型  

The New Information Model of Homology Dimension about National Economy Development Forecast of the Third Industry

作　　者：郭学军[1] 王水[1] 

机构地区：[1]南阳理工学院数学系,河南南阳473004

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2005年第4期6-9,共4页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

摘　　要：国民经济系统是一个典型的灰色系统,利用灰色系统理论的GM(1 ,1 )模型建立了我国第三产业产值的预测模型,并对2 0 0 1年第三产业增加值进行了预测,进而建立了等维新息模型,得到2 0 0 1—2 0 0 5年第三产业产值的预测值,取得了良好的分析效果.National economy system is a typical grey system. Using GM(1,1)model of grey system theory, forecast model is found about production value of the third industry,and production value of the third industry in the year 2001 is predicted, based on the theory, a kind of new information model of homology dimension be given ,out of forecast production value of the third industry in the years from 2001 to 2005, And a good result of the analysis is obtained.

关 键 词：国民经济 第三产业 发展预测 等维新息模型 灰色系统 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]