长江三角洲地区工业地价形成的内在机理与博弈分析  

The Formation Mechanism and Game Analysis of Industrial Land Price in Yangtze River Delta

作　　者：秦兴龙[1] 章波[1] 黄贤金[1] 濮励杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学城市与资源学系,江苏南京210093

出　　处：《中国土地科学》2005年第3期44-48,共5页China Land Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(70341021;70373060);国家社会科学基金(03BJY034);教育部"跨世纪优秀人才培养计划"基金和江苏省社会科学基金重点项目(2003-10-3)。

摘　　要：研究目的:针对长江三角洲地区工业地价之间的压价恶性竞争,通过建立实证模型阐述工业地价形成的内在机理和城市间的博弈过程,为促进该区域间的合理博弈和协作提供参考。研究方法:Delphi法,相关分析方法。研究结果:分析了工业地价形成的内在机理,并且构建了最优地价模型。研究结论:当前经济发展水平、城市路网密度、城镇居民可支配收入、协议出让土地面积所占比例是影响长江三角洲地区城市工业地价形成的主要因素,并对工业地价形成的作用程度不同。推进工业用地市场化、建立信息公开制度、制定跨区域的国土规划、完善土地管理制度、构建新型土地税收体系是推进长三角地区从非理性博弈过渡到理性博弈的有效途径。The purpose of the paper is to promote rational competition and cooperation in Yangtze River Delta by elaborating the mechanism of industrial land price formation on the basis of analysis of the abnormal competition by lowering land price.Method of Delphi and correlation analysis were em ployed.The land price model was set up.It has been found that level of eco nomy development,road density,resident expenditure,rate of conveyan ce through negotiation are the main fac tors to affect the urban industrial l and price in Yangtze River Delta alth ough the degrees of effect vary.It will be effective to improve the government game to be more rational by pushing forward marketization of industria l land price,establishing open info rmation system,making trans -distr ict land plan and establishing a new land tax s ystem.

关 键 词：长江三角洲地区 工业用地出让价格 博弈分析 实证模型 

分 类 号：F301.3[经济管理—产业经济]