关系逻辑与地震预报(三)  

RELATIVE LOGIC AND EARTHQUAKEPREDICTION (PART 3)

作　　者：夏浩明[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽省地震局

出　　处：《地震研究》1989年第3期201-211,共11页Journal of Seismological Research

摘　　要：继文献1、2讨论了中长期和中短期地震预报问题之后,本文进一步运用关系逻辑探讨短临地震预报问题。基本方法是根据相交关系因子μ值识别地震活动变化型式的逐时活动状态。文中,给出了计算μ值的基本公式和各种二元逻辑关系的μ值,介绍了计算μ值的两种常用方法和在短临地震预报中的具体应用,最后,对有关四个问题作了说明。After discussing problems concerning the long-medium-term and medium-short-term earhquake predictions in part 1 and 2 , this part has further studied problems involved in the short-immediate-term one. The fundamental method is to distinquish earthquake activities of various types period by period in the light of intersected relation factor μ. In this paper, the basic formulas for calculating μ value and μ, values of binary logical relations have been given, two methods for calculating μ value and their practice use in the short-immediate-term prediction have been expounded. Lastly, four problems concerned have been explained.

关 键 词：关系逻辑 地震预报 相交关系因子 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]