震级序列的插值新息实时预报方法  

A REAL-TIME PREDICTION METHOD USING INNOVATION OF INTERPOLATION FOR MAGNITUDE SEQUENCE

作　　者：刘权威[1] 孙国学[2] 

机构地区：[1]太原工业大学,中国太原030024 [2]山西省地震局,中国太原030002

出　　处：《地震》1995年第4期340-344,共5页Earthquake

基　　金：国家自然科学基金

摘　　要：提出一种用于震级序列预报的新方法,给出其数学模型,并导出实用公式和写出用此方法编程的程序框图。对大华北地区1900年以来的每年最大震级序列建模,给出了1984—1994年的预测结果。A new method of real-time prediction based on innovtion of interpolation for magnitude sequence is proposed in this paper. Its mathematical model is introduced and the corresponding formulus are derived. The frame picture of computer program using this method is given. The model for the largest magnitude sequence in each year since 1900 in North China region has been constructed and the prediction result from 1984 to 1994 has been presented.

关 键 词：震级 预报方案 新息实时预报 地震预报 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]