签署《与贸易有关的投资措施协定》(TRIMs协定)对东道国经济的短期影响  

Short-Term Effect of TRIMs on Host Country's Economy

作　　者：阮峥[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行厦门中心支行

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2005年第8期55-62,共8页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

摘　　要：本文构造了一个简单的两国寡头垄断竞争模型,讨论了签署TRIMs协定,取消“当地含量要求”和“出口实绩要求”对东道国经济的短期影响,包括企业产量、社会福利和劳动力就业等方面所受到的影响。东道国最终产品生产企业一定是受到负面影响的。外商在东道国投资的企业的产量的变化则是取决于原有的“当地含量要求”和“出口实绩要求”的水平。考虑中间产品生产企业受到影响,东道国在该行业的劳动力就业一定会减少。而社会福利的变化则不一定是负面的,其取决于东道国最终产品生产企业和外商投资企业的数量比较。This article tries to make clear the short-term economic effects of signing of TRIMs on host country＇s enterprise production, social welfare and em- ployment. It focuses on withdrawal of ‘local content＇ and‘export requirement＇, and constructs an oligopolistic model and draws the following conclusions. First, host country＇s enterprise production will be reduced, while the change of FDI enterprise production is uncertain depending on original constraints on local content and export requirement. Second, host country＇s employment will also be reduced for the decrease of intermediate production. Last, the change of social welfare in host country depends on the number of both local and foreign enterprises within the country.

关 键 词：TRIMS 当地含量要求 出口实绩要求 企业产量 社会福利 就业 

分 类 号：F038.2[经济管理—政治经济学]