多准则模糊决策方法在旱涝趋势预报中的应用  

The Application of“Multi-Criterion Fuzzy Decision”to the Long Term Forecast of Dryness/Wetness Trend

作　　者：李恺心 姜晓艳[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁省沈阳市气象局

出　　处：《气象》1995年第2期16-18,共3页Meteorological Monthly

摘　　要：应用“多准则模糊决策”方法，把多种预报方法以偏少、正常、偏多及总的预报准确率作为评价条件，对每种预报方法均做出总的评价，进行最佳预报方法排序，作为最终预报的依据。any methods have been used in long-term forecasts. The method of multi-criterion fuzzy decision is,therefore,introduced. A general appraisal is made according to forecasting accuracy.As a result,an order of optimum forecast methods as a basic principle for the final forecast is obtained.

关 键 词：多准则 模糊决策 旱涝预报 

分 类 号：P426.616[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]