计及碳排放交易的Carbon-IRP模型模拟分析  

Simulation Analysis of Carbon-IRP Model with Carbon Emission Trading

作　　者：祖国海 马向春[2] 杨玲玲[2] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古交通职业技术学院,内蒙古赤峰024000 [2]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2010年第10期154-157,共4页Water Resources and Power

摘　　要：针对电力工业具有较强的碳锁定效应可实现节能减排的长效可持续性,在分析引入碳排放交易的基础上,构建了计及碳排放交易的Carbon-IRP模型,并就给定排放约束模拟分析了不同排放权价格对机组发电量及CO2排放的影响。结果表明,该模型在满足系统可靠性的同时可有效降低系统总装机容量及发电量,CO2排放量显著减少,在排放权价格较低时减排效果不明显,但随排放权价格升高减排效果逐渐凸显。Power industry has a strong carbon locking effect,which can achieve long-term sustainable energy saving and emission reduction.Based on the analysis of carbon emissions trading,a Carbon-IRP model is established.Besides,the effect of different permit prices on electricity generation and carbon emissions under emission constraint are simulated.The results show that the Carbon-IRP model with carbon emissions trading can meet power system reliability while reduce total installed capacity and electricity generation effectively.Therefore,it reduces CO2 emissions evidently: In the case of low permit price,reduction effect is not obvious;but with the price increasing,the reduction effect is more evident.

关 键 词：碳排放交易 模型 模拟分析 Model 排放权价格 减排效果 CO2排放量 发电量 总装机容量 系统可靠性 锁定效应 可持续性 节能减排 电力工业 约束 升高 结果 基础 机组 构建 

分 类 号：TK79[动力工程及工程热物理—流体机械及工程] TV7[水利工程—水利水电工程]