复杂系统质量生存决策的模型研究  

Research on quality viable decision modeling of complex system

作　　者：叶明确[1] 张世英[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海大学国际工商管理学院,上海201800 [2]天津大学管理学院,天津300072

出　　处：《管理科学学报》2005年第4期1-8,共8页Journal of Management Sciences in China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(69874028).

摘　　要：在复杂经济系统的生存决策模型的基础上加入期望约束,提出并建立了一个基于资源、惯性和期望约束的质量生存决策的三维基本模型.由于决策系统的质量生存性由质量生存核维持,但在一般情况下得不到质量生存核的解析解,因此对其大小、形状、位置进行了理论分析,并根据理论分析结果,按照不同质量生存特性将三维决策空间进行了定性区域划分,最后用一个仿真实例进行了简单验证.By adding the expectation restriction in the viable decision model to complex economic system, we construct a three-dimensional quality viable decision model with the resources, inertia and expectation restrictions. Though quality viability kemel can easily guarantee the quality viability of the decision, we can hardly obtain the analytic expression of it. So we make a qualitative analysis on its locations and shapes as well as successiully divide the whole decision space into several zones with different quality viable capability. Finally, a simple simulation sample verifies the theoretical analysis.

关 键 词：复杂系统 质量生存决策 质量生存核 

分 类 号：C934[经济管理—管理学] N94[自然科学总论—系统科学]