宁夏汛期地质灾害气象预报预警模型研究  

The Early Waring Model of Weather Forecast of the Geological Calamity in Flood Season of Ningxia is Studied

作　　者：陈豫英[1] 赵光平[1] 王红英 

机构地区：[1]宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏银川750002 [2]宁夏地质环境监测总站,宁夏银川750021

出　　处：《灾害学》2005年第3期25-28,共4页Journal of Catastrophology

基　　金：宁夏回族自治区科技攻关计划项目"宁夏暴雨型地质灾害风险预报研究"

摘　　要：利用近20a宁夏地质灾害及降水资料分析了宁夏地质灾害分布规律,研究了降雨与地质灾害发生的关系,发现连续性降水、短时强降水和暴雨是造成地质灾害的主要气象诱因,并介绍了宁夏汛期地质灾害潜势预报模型及2004年试运行情况。The distribution law of geological hazards and the relation of rainfall with geological hazard in Ningxia are analyzed by use of the data of geological disasters and precipitation in recent 20 years. It show that continuous precipitation, strong precipitation and rainstorm are the main causes of geological disaster. The model for geological hazard tendency forecast in flood season and its trial application in 2004 are introduced.

关 键 词：地质灾害 气象条件 预报预警 宁夏 

分 类 号：P642.2[天文地球—工程地质学]