全球气候变化及其影响因素研究进展综述  

THE SUMMARIZE OF DEVELOPMENT OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS EFFECT FACTORS

作　　者：张强[1] 韩永翔[1] 宋连春[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,甘肃兰州730020

出　　处：《地球科学进展》2005年第9期990-998,共9页Advances in Earth Science

基　　金：国家科技部"西部开发科技行动"重大项目"祁连山空中云水资源开发利用研究"(编号:2004BA901A16);国家自然科学基金项目"利用现有观测资料确定西北干旱荒漠区陆面过程参数"(编号:40175004)资助.

摘　　要：概述了全球气候变化问题提出的科学背景,总结了引起气候变化的原因,客观分析了引起不同时间尺度气候变化的各种自然因素,透视了人类活动对气候变化的影响程度,讨论了应该如何理解当今全球气候变暖问题。同时,还综述了气候变化研究中的学术分歧和科学困惑。In this paper, firstly, the science background is simply summarized about the global climate change, then based on the compartmentalized time scale, the cau global climate warming, change and its effect factors in different time scales are discussed. By analyzed the key natural factors which could cause the climate change in different time seales and the anthropogenie influence upon climate change, it will be help for us to understand the present global climate warming. At the same time, the science diverging and perplexity on the study of climate change are also reviewed.

关 键 词：全球气候变化 自然驱动力 人类活动影响 全球气候变暖 

分 类 号：P46[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]