全面建设小康时期我国投资率的预测与优化  

Prediction and Optimization of China's Investment Rate in Building Well-off Society

作　　者：刘春梅[1] 刘希宋[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学经济信息管理系,上海200433 [2]哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《商业研究》2005年第20期1-4,共4页Commercial Research

基　　金：国家社会基金资助课题;项目编号:03AJY001

摘　　要：确定一个合理的投资率,将一国的投资与消费比例控制在这一水平上,这对经济的可持续发展将是非常有益的。依据确定合理投资率的原则,在借鉴国际投资率并对有利于我国保持较高投资率和有利于消费率提高的因素进行分析的基础上,指出我国合理投资率的区间,并采用协整分析法对我国全面建设小康时期的投资率进行预测,进而提出优化投资率的方向和途径。It is generally supposed beneficial to the sustainable economic development by detevming reasonable investment vate, which can keep one country＇s investment and consumption vate untie the control of this level. According to the principles of determining reasonable investment rate, with the reference of international investment rate and the velevant of factors of increasing high investment and consumption rate, this paper points out the range of reasonable investment rate in China. It predicts China＇s investment rate by co- integration analysis approach and puts forward the trend and methods of optimizing investment rate in building a well- off society.

关 键 词：投资率 消费率 协整分析 优化 

分 类 号：F830.59[经济管理—金融学]