聊古一井地下流体场源兆异常特征及震情预测检验  

Characteristics of Precursory Anomalies of Groundwater in the Liaogu-1 Well and Test of Earthquake Prediction

作　　者：耿杰[1] 游本跃[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东省地震局,济南250014

出　　处：《防灾减灾工程学报》2005年第3期325-329,共5页Journal of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation Engineering

基　　金：山东省科技发展计划资助项目(031060107)

摘　　要：聊古一井由于其所处的特殊构造部位、良好的水文地质条件、井孔条件和连续可靠的观测,获得了一批有价值的实际地震观测资料,该井水化学组分的异常变化对其周围500 km范围内的5级以上地震具有良好的映震能力. 在对聊古一井自1981-01投测以来观测到的水化学地震前兆异常进行综合分析的基础上,探讨了聊古一井水化学异常变化的场源兆特征及异常形成的物理力学机制和地震预报意义. 利用上述研究结果,对聊古一井气体总量2003-05～2003-10出现的低值异常变化进行了分析和震情预测,取得较好的效果.As the Liaogu-1 well is located in a special tectonic zone with good hydrogeological condition, continuous and reliable observations have been performed resulting in a wealth of valuable data of seismic observations, which indicate that anomalous variations of hydrochemical elements serves as a good precursor to earthquakes with M≥5.0 occurring in the range of 500 km around the well. Based on integrated analyses of the seismic precursors of hydrochemical elements in the Liaogu-lwell since the observation began in January,1981, the characteristics of hydrochemical elements are investigated as well as their forming mechanism and predictive significance as the seismic precursors from seismic source and tectonic field. Based on the above studies, we have also analyzed lower anomalous changes of total quantity 6f gases released from the Liaogu-1 well from May to October 2003, and achieved a satisfactory result in the test of earthquake prediction.

关 键 词：聊古一井 场兆 源兆 震情预测 

分 类 号：P315.723[天文地球—地震学]