军事威慑中试探策略博弈分析  

Game-theoretical Analysis of Probe Strategy in Military Deterrence

作　　者：向钢华[1] 王永县[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《系统工程》2005年第9期4-7,共4页Systems Engineering

摘　　要：在标准两阶段军事威慑博弈基础上构建了带有挑战者试探策略和含有信号传递子博弈的三阶段威慑博弈模型,分析了该博弈的混同均衡和分离均衡,提出了军事威慑博弈中试探策略有效运用的基本条件。In this paper a three-stage deterrence game model with probe strategy and signalling subgame is constructed based on the standard two-stage military deterrence. Its pooling equilibria and separating equilibria are also analyzed. And the conditions for the effective application of the probe strategy in military deterrence are put forward.

关 键 词：军事威慑 试探策略 信号博弈 混同均衡 分离均衡 

分 类 号：E8[军事]