福建省经济运行的实证分析  

The Empirical Analysis on Fujian Economic Growth

作　　者：孟薇[1] 林俊国[1] 

机构地区：[1]华侨大学商学院,泉州362021

出　　处：《价值工程》2005年第10期21-23,共3页Value Engineering

摘　　要：任何一个国家或地区的经济发展都是由很多因素决定的,从宏观经济理论可知,拉动地区经济增长的因素主要有消费,投资和出口。本文从这三个因素入手,通过Granger-causality因果关系检验的方法,以福建省的数据为例,对区域经济的运行情况进行实证分析,得出出口是拉动福建经济的主要因素的结论。并对今后福建省的经济发展提出了一些简单的政策和建议。The economic growth in any countries or regions is decided by many factors. From macroeconomic theory, we know that the factors which can accelerate the economic growth are consumption, investment and exportation. This paper does empirical analysis on the data of Fujian province by using granger-causality test and reaches a conclusion that exportation is the main factor for Fujian economic growth, and carries out some polices and suggestions for the economic growth in Fijian at the end of this paper.

关 键 词：经济运行 消费 投资 出口 VAR因果关系检验 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]