松嫩平原南部区域地下水数值模拟预报所反映出的水文地质条件变化  

Variation of Geohydrological Condition by Prediction of Numerical Simulation for Underground Water in South Area of Songnen Plain

作　　者：肖长来[1] 张力春[1] 郑佳[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学环境与资源学院,吉林长春130026

出　　处：《吉林水利》2005年第10期1-4,6,共5页Jilin Water Resources

基　　金：吉林省重点科技攻关项目(编号:980802076及20020601)国土资源大调查项目

摘　　要：建立了研究区水文地质概念模型和数学模型,采用WINFEM软件对第四系孔隙潜水、孔隙承压水双层含水层 进行了仿真模拟,结合新提出的模糊均生函数残差模型REMFAF和其它统计模型对源、汇项的科学处理,对2005、 2010及2015年地下水位进行了预报,并通过模拟提出了研究区地下水可开采资源量,与水均衡法的结果基本一致。In this paper, the authors established the , carried out simulated study on double layer water geological concept model and mathematical model stratum of the fourth system pore phreatic water and pore piestic water by WINFEM software, dealt with scientifically the source term and the collection term combining with new residual model REMFAF of fuzzy mean generating function being put forward and other statistical models , predicted the level of underground water for the year 2005, 2010 , and 2015 , and put forward approved yield of underground water mining by imitating . Its result is basically identical with the one calculated by water balance method.

关 键 词：地下水数值模拟及预报 双层含水层 模糊均生函数残差模型 地下水可开采资源量 

分 类 号：P333[天文地球—水文科学]