生猪供需系统波动现象成因机理的动力学研究  

Dynamics Study on Forming Mechanism of Fluctuation Phenomenon in Hogs Supply Demand System

作　　者：张火法[1,2] 陈秉钧[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江省农业厅畜牧局 [2]浙江农业大学工程技术学院

出　　处：《农业工程学报》1996年第2期126-130,共5页Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering

摘　　要：综合运用系统动力学等理论与方法，建立了生猪供需系统的因果反馈结构。首次完整地描述了该系统中特有的经济现象———随机性与恒、远期波动行为。最后，以浙江省为例。Causal effect feedback structure of hogs supply demand system was established by applying theories and approaches of system dynamics,etc. The special economic fluctuation behavior, e.i., stochastic type, permanent type, forward type, existing in the system was first described in integrative way. Then, taking that system in Zhejiang Province as example, with system simulation, the periodic fluctuation phenomenon was quantitatively demonstrated.

关 键 词：供需波动 系统动力学 生猪供需系统 

分 类 号：F762.5[经济管理—产业经济]