地震云预测地震续探  

Continue Exploration on Forecasting Earthquakes by Seismic Clouds

作　　者：徐保华[1] 徐秀登[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江师范大学卫星遥感中心,金华321004

出　　处：《科学技术与工程》2005年第22期1705-1709,共5页Science Technology and Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(40172101)资助

摘　　要：概述了地震云预测地震的历史;简介了国内外主要地震工作者关于地震云的识别标志、时空动态与地震三要素关系的论述及其实际预测效果;剖析了地震云的形成机制;列举了作者用其预测的几个震例;最后对其作了评价和结论,认为:震前地震云和红外增温异常是地震构造加剧活动派生的同源异象的气象效应。两者结合利于互相补充、验证,前者出现时间早些,可达3个多月,后者一般10多天。可形成地震地质为基础,长、中、短、临一体化的卫星预测地震系统。The history of forecasting earthquakes by earthquake clouds is summarized briefly. It introduces the recognition marks of earthquake clouds, the relation between time-spatial dynamic of earthquake clouds and the three elements of earthquake, and forecast result by earthquake clouds; It analyzes the formation mechanisms of earthquake clouds and presents several seismic cases which have forecasted by earthquake clouds. Lastly, it points out estimations and conclusion. The earthquake clouds and anomaly of thermal infrared incerease before earthquake are the homologous anomalies of meteorological effect which intensifying of seismic tectonic activity produces. The former appear early and the latter appear late. They make up and validate each other. The earthquake forecast system by satellite on the base of seismogeology, which include long-, medium-, short-term and impending prediction, will be formed.

关 键 词：地震云 地震前兆 识别标志 震例分析 

分 类 号：P315.75[天文地球—地震学]