基于博弈分析的军事威慑理论研究  

The Research of Military Deterrence Theory Based on Game Analysis

作　　者：王永县[1] 向钢华[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《清华大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2005年第5期62-66,共5页Journal of Tsinghua University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

摘　　要：军事威慑本质上是一种非对称信息动态博弈,博弈论为军事威慑问题研究提供了独特的视野和方法。文章从信号博弈角度,深入分析了军事威慑中的信号机制和策略互动,为阐明军事威慑本质和提高军事威慑可信性与有效性提供了新的理解框架。In its essence, military deterrence is a kind of dynamic game with asymmetric information, and game theory provides a distinctive perspective and method for its research. Through analyzing the signal mechanism and strategic interaction, this paper puts forward a new framwork for illustrating military deterrence essence and promoting its credibility and effectivity with signaling game theory.

关 键 词：军事威慑 信号博弈 混同均衡 分离均衡 

分 类 号：E0[军事—军事理论] D8[政治法律—政治学]