中国城市消费结构内部差异实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Different Characteristics of Chinese City's Consumption Structure

作　　者：何之渊[1] 李治国[1] 陆康强[2] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学管理学院,上海200433 [2]复旦大学社会发展与公共政策学院,上海200433

出　　处：《财经研究》2005年第12期77-87,共11页Journal of Finance and Economics

摘　　要：由于地域辽阔和经济转型,中国不同地区、不同城市之间的消费结构差异的存在以及存在怎样的内部差异,是涉及中国经济持续增长的一个难解之谜。文章利用面板数据模型研究了中国六个大城市的消费结构,通过组别因子量化分析了各城市消费结构的内部差异,通过时间因子定量分析了这些大城市消费结构的总体变动趋势。实证结果表明,组别因子和时间因子都具有统计上的显著性,固定效应模型拟合结果既优于线性支出系统模型,又在大多数情况下优于随机效应模型。In China, due to the vast territory and unbalanced developing speed of different regions, there exist distinct differences between regions and cities. These differences are dynamic and reveal a lot hints about the economic status of the regions. How to effectively measure them and the evolvement？ We combined data from 1994-2003 of six cities and build up panel data model to distinguish the inner dynamic characteristics of consumption structure by group effects and to measure the overall trend of Chinese big cities＇ consumption structure. The group effects and time effects are both significant. We find that the fixed time effects model always works out better results than the ELES model and in most time appears superior to the random effects model.

关 键 词：城市消费结构 面板数据 固定效应模型 随机效应模型 

分 类 号：F014.5[经济管理—政治经济学] F224.0