多部门动态模型与“十一·五”规划指标预测  

Multi-Sectoral Dynamic Model and Forecast of the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Indicators

作　　者：孙丹[1] 冯文斌[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北省经济信息中心,石家庄050051

出　　处：《价值工程》2005年第12期6-9,共4页Value Engineering

摘　　要：本文简要介绍了河北省的宏观经济多部门动态模型,并利用模型对河北省“十一·五”规划中的宏观指标进行了测算和分析,拟定了关于投资增速的高中低三个方案,分别预测出“十一·五”规划期间河北省宏观经济指标可能达到的目标数据,为决策者提供了比较科学的政策建议。In this paper,we introduce the hebei＇s muhi-scctoral dynamic model. Using this model, we forecast and analysis hebei＇s macro-economic indicators of the eleventh five-year plan, and draw up three schemes （High, moddle and low） about increase speed of investment, then we forecast the hebei＇s macro economic data respectively during the eleventh five-year plan period, which can provide some science suggestion for decision maker.

关 键 词：经济预测 多部门动态模型 “十一·五”规划 

分 类 号：F223[经济管理—国民经济] F123.393