广义S增长曲线在油田开发中的应用  

Application of generalized increasing model in oilfield development

作　　者：李祖友[1] 朱义东 李玉林[3] 杨白书[4] 荣宁[3] 

机构地区：[1]西南石油学院,四川成都610500 [2]中海油深圳分公司,广东广州510000 [3]中油塔里木油田分公司,新疆库尔勒841000 [4]中油大庆油田有限责任公司,黑龙江大庆163000

出　　处：《特种油气藏》2005年第6期53-54,57,共3页Special Oil & Gas Reservoirs

摘　　要：通过对目前普遍采用的6种S增长曲线指标量增长率变化特征的分析,得到能够代表这6种增长曲线的广义S增长模型及增长曲线,建立了油田年产量、累计产量预测模型,并通过非线性回归方法对模型进行了求解。实例分析表明,所推导出的年产量、累计产量模型对实际油田预测结果较为准确。Through analysis of the characteristics of index increasing rate of 6 S-shape increasing curves,which are commonly used currently,a generalized S-shape increasing model and its increasing curve are obtained,a prediction model of annual production and cumulative production is established,and the model is solved by non-linear regression.Case study shows that the model can give accurate prediction of annual oil production and cumulative production.

关 键 词：广义S增长曲线 产量预测 油田开发 应用 

分 类 号：TE319[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]