我国THE和GDP之间影响关系的2个区间实证检验  

The Two-sstage Empirical Test Between THE and GDP in China

作　　者：刘柏[1] 赵振全[1] 汪玲丽[2] 刘周楠[3] 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学数量经济研究中心,长春130012 [2]吉林大学口腔医学院,长春130000 [3]美国南加州大学口腔颌面部分子生物研究中心

出　　处：《中国卫生经济》2006年第1期36-39,共4页Chinese Health Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(70173043)资助。

摘　　要：随着我国经济的持续快速发展,国民健康状况也有了大幅度的改善。因此,研究全民健康发展状况和宏观经济水平之间的关系,探寻今后经济发展的促进因素就显得尤为重要。通过Granger影响关系、VAR模型的冲击反应和误差方差分解方法证实,1990年前后的2个时间区间具有不同的特点,特别是在第2个区间,卫生总费用(THE)和城镇居民人均卫生费用(AHE)的增长引起了国内生产总值(GDP)和人均可支配收入的增加,进而揭示了提高全民健康水平对于经济增长的促进作用。With the sustained and rapid increase of economy in China, the health situation has improved greatly. Therefore, it is important to study the relationship between national healthy development and macroeconomic level in order to explore the driving forces of economic development in the future. Through Granger causality test and VAR＇s impulse response and variance decompositions, this article proved that two time periods before and after 1990 possess different characters. Especially in the second period, the increase of total health expenditure and average health consumption induce the rise of GDP and average controllable income, and then reveal that enhancing national health level promotes economic growth.

关 键 词：THE GDP增长 影响关系 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]