煤炭期货机制下基于“蛛网模型”的市场分析  

Market analysis based on'cobweb model' under coal time-bargain system

作　　者：丁浩[1] 李济英[2] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏省南京市210098 [2]黄岛发电厂,山东省青岛市266500

出　　处：《中国煤炭》2006年第1期15-17,共3页China Coal

摘　　要：在传统的“蛛网理论”的基础上,通过引入期货机制来研究煤炭市场的动态发展状况,分析表明完备的煤炭期货市场的建立不但能够使政府从对煤价的直接干预中解放出来,还可以有效地克服煤炭完全市场化所带来的盲目性弊端。提出了建立煤炭期货市场的声誉和信用、健全内部管理体系和政府应转换角色的建议。The reform of the coal price is the most important task in the establishment of the coal market at present.The setup of the coal futures market is a selected direction of the reform.Based on the traditional cobweb theory,the coal futures mechanism is introduced to study the dynamic development of the coal market.The analysis shows that the setup of a complete coal futures market can not only release the coal price from the direct intervene of the government but can also avoid the blindness from absolute marketization of the coal market.Thus it is a feasible measure of the coal price reform.Aimed at how to establish a complete coal futures market,it is suggested that the reputation and credit of the futures market should be set up,the internal management system should be perfected and the role of the government should be changed from direct intervene to indirect regulation.

关 键 词：煤炭期货 蛛网理论 期货市场 煤炭 市场分析 机制 网模型 动态发展 管理体系 盲目性 

分 类 号：F832.5[经济管理—金融学] TQ536[化学工程—煤化学工程]