河南交通运输综合分析与需求预测研究  

A Comptensive Analysis and DemandForecast of Henan Communications and Transportation

作　　者：党耀国[1] 刘思峰[1] 刘斌[1] 王韵 张晓梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南农业大学,河南省计划统计学校,中州大学

出　　处：《河南农业大学学报》1996年第3期274-278,共5页Journal of Henan Agricultural University

摘　　要：在对河南交通运输发展现状及存在的问题进行深入研究的基础上，采用变系数指数外推模型，对河南交通运输系统不同时期各种运输方式的运量、周转量的需求进行了预测，可为有关部门制定运输方案、运价政策、调整运输结构提供科学依据。Based on a thorough study of the condition and existing problems of communica-tions and transportation development in Henan,the demand of freight volume and turn-over volume of various transportation means in different periods in the communicationsand transportation system in Henan are forecasted by adopting variable coefficient expo-nent driving outward model.It can provide a scientific basis for drawing up a transporta-tion plan,making transportation price policy and readjusting transportation structure fordepartments concerned.

关 键 词：交通运输 综合分析 需求量 数学模型 河南 

分 类 号：U116[交通运输工程]