基础设施投资的经济增长效应  

EFFECTS OF INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH

作　　者：郭庆旺[1] 贾俊雪[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学中国财政金融政策研究中心,北京100872

出　　处：《经济理论与经济管理》2006年第3期36-41,共6页Economic Theory and Business Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(04AJY006)

摘　　要：基础设施总投资、交通运输仓储和邮电通信投资以及电力、煤气及水生产与供应投资对产出具有较大、持久的正影响,时滞也相对较短;电力、煤气及水生产与供应投资对产出的正影响更大,并且对交通运输仓储和邮电通信投资也具有较大的正影响。我国基础设施投资效应的这些重要特征,对于我国宏观经济政策的制定、实施时机和基础设施投资领域的选择都具有重要意义。Total investment in infrastructure, investments in transportation and storage as well as postal service and communications, and investments in the production and supply of electricity, natural gas and water have relatively big and everlasting positive effects on output, and the .time lag is also relatively short, investments in the production and supply of electricity, natural gas and water have even greater effects on output, and have relatively big positive effects on the investments in transportation and storage as well as postal service and communications. These important characteristics in our country＇s infrastructure investments have important implications for the making and carrying out of our country＇s macroeconomic policies and the choice of the areas for infrastructure investments.

关 键 词：基础设施投资 经济增长 格兰杰因果分析 脉冲响应函数 方差分解 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]