马尔可夫链式灰色模型在防洪堤水平位移预测中的应用  

Application of Grey Model A. A.Mapkob in Prediction of Flood Embankment Horizontal Displacement

作　　者：徐如海[1] 纪燕新[1] 吴彰敦[1] 

机构地区：[1]广西大学土木建筑工程学院,广西南宁530004

出　　处：《红水河》2006年第1期62-65,共4页Hongshui River

摘　　要：应用灰色理论,结合工程实例,建立了马尔可夫链式灰色预测模型,利用广西梧州市河西防洪堤某堤段的水平位移观测资料,预测堤段的变形。将预测值与实测值加以对比,证实了马尔可夫链式灰色预测模型的可行性。Combining the gray theory with project illustration, the Grey prediction Mold A. A. Mapkob is established. The deformation is predicted by using the observational data of a flood embankment section of Hexi in Wuzhou, Guangxi. The comparison of the predicated value and the measured value shows that the mold is feasible.

关 键 词：灰色预测 灰色模型 水平位移 防洪堤 观测资料 应用 

分 类 号：TV698.11[水利工程—水利水电工程]