汇率制度选择理论与人民币汇率制度改革  

The System Choice Theory of the Exchange Rate and the Reform of the RMB Exchange Rate System

作　　者：傅冠岚[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江教育学院经贸学院,浙江杭州310012

出　　处：《湖州师范学院学报》2006年第3期95-98,共4页Journal of Huzhou University

基　　金：浙江教育学院2003年院级科研课题<我国汇率制度改革的途径>(NO.15)

摘　　要：研究汇率制度选择理论可以发现,汇率制度的选择是一个不断转换的动态过程。对新兴国家来讲,目前还没有充分的理论依据及实践证据说明汇率制度趋向“两极”。新兴国家适宜的选择是“中间汇率制”,且应从偏向较为固定的中间汇率制转向更为灵活的中间汇率制。人民币汇率制度改革就是一个从官方汇率逐步走向市场汇率,并不断增加汇率弹性与灵活性的动态调整过程。回归有管理的浮动汇率制是我国汇率制度改革的正确选择。Through the study of the system choice theory of the exchange rate, we find the choice of exchange rate system is a dynamic transformation course. For an emerging market country, there are still no theory or factual evidence that show the exchange rate system trend to be the ＂corner solutions＂. So the intermediate system is a better choice for the emerging market country. But it shall turn to the more flexible intermediate system from the less flexible one. The innovative course of RMB exchange rate system is a course of a gradual step from official exchange rate to market exchange rate with more and more flexibilities. The managed floating exchange rate system is our best choice.

关 键 词：汇率制度选择 中间汇率制 管理浮动汇率制 人民币汇率制度 

分 类 号：F830.73[经济管理—金融学]