导弹武器系统费用的模糊估算模型研究  

Research on Cost Estimation Model of Missile Weapon System Based on Fuzzy Set

作　　者：史志富[1] 张安[1] 王卫华 王少峰 

机构地区：[1]西北工业大学电子信息学院,陕西西安710072 [2]洪都航空工业集团,江西南昌330024

出　　处：《模糊系统与数学》2006年第2期153-157,共5页Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics

基　　金：高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金(20020699009)资助项目

摘　　要：利用模糊数学的基本原理,基于模糊贴近度的概念和择近原则,在同一条件下,研究和对比在研导弹武器系统与已有导弹武器系统的相似程度,在导弹武器系统费用历史资料的基础上,根据指数平滑法的理论,建立了在早期设计阶段导弹武器系统费用的模糊预测模型。仿真实例验证了该方法的适用性和结果的可靠性。Making use of the basic theory of fuzzy mathematics, based on fuzzy degree of close and handy principles, we studied and compared the comparability between the new missile weapon system with the old ones. We have built the cost estimation model of missile weapon system at the time of design based on history information. The method has adopted the smooth of exponential theory. The simulation example shows that the model is applicability and reliability.

关 键 词：费用估算 贴近度 隶属度 指数平滑 

分 类 号：TJ760[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程] O159[理学—数学]