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机构地区:[1]Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre (NZC), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China [2]Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China
出 处:《Chinese Science Bulletin》2006年第1期75-79,共5页
基 金:jointly supported by Key Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.KZCX3-SW-221);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.40125014).
摘 要:The relationship between the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) on decadal timescale in the extended winter (November-March) is investigated in this study. The results indicate that AO plays an important role in the low frequency variability of PDO. When AO leads PDO by 7-8 years, the lagging correlation between them becomes the strongest with correlation coeffi- cient 0.77. The leading decadal variability of AO pro- vides a valuably precursory signal for predicting the variability of PDO. The results of regression and lag- ging correlation reveal the possible mechanism for the AO-PDO coupling: A strong AO would lead to an enhanced Aleutian Low that is linked to PDO by ocean-atmosphere interaction in the North Pacific, and vice versa.The relationship between the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) on decadal timescale in the extended winter (November--March) is investigated in this study. The results indicate that AO plays an important role in the low frequency variability of PDO. When AO leads PDO by 7--8 years, the lagging correlation between them becomes the strongest with correlation coefficient 0.77. The leading decadal variability of AO provides a valuably precursory signal for predicting the variability of PDO. The results of regression and lagging correlation reveal the possible mechanism for the AO-PDO coupling: A strong AO would lead to an enhanced Aleutian Low that is linked to PDO by ocean-atmosphere interaction in the North Pacific, and vice versa.
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