中国三次通货膨胀:周期划分与因素检验  

China's Three Occurrences of Inflation: Analysis of its Cycles and Inducements

作　　者：王于栋[1] 杨昊晰[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学金融学院,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《河北经贸大学学报》2006年第3期1-5,共5页Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Business

基　　金：湖南大学SIT项目"我国经济金融形势与金融热点研究最终成果之一

摘　　要：我国改革开放以来经济高速发展的同时也伴随着经济周期和通货膨胀。本文结合统计数据将我国的通货膨胀划分为三个周期,并运用Granger检验分析了通货膨胀诱因在历次通货膨胀中的作用,最终得出了通货膨胀率与各通货膨胀诱因间的量化模型。Since its reform and opening up, China＇s speedy economic development has been accompanied by economic cycles and inflations. This article, based on the statistical data, divides the period from 1978-2004 into three sections and analyzes the role of inflation inducements in the three sections. Finally the quantitative model for the inflation rate and various inducements is constructed.

关 键 词：通货膨胀 周期 GRANGER检验 

分 类 号：F822.5[经济管理—财政学]