“十五”时期西藏经济运行特点及2006年趋势分析  

Characteristics of Tibet’s Economic Function During the “Tenth Five Year” Plan and Analysis of Economic Tendencies in the Year 2006

作　　者：西藏社会科学院"经济形势分析"课题组 方敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]西藏社会科学院经济战略研究所,西藏拉萨850000

出　　处：《西藏研究》2006年第2期94-103,共10页Tibetan Studies

摘　　要：定量与定性分析结果表明,“十五”时期西藏经济运行特点明显:高位运行但仍有较大增长潜力;资本投入、第三产业是经济增长的决定性因素,而技术进步的贡献率大幅下降,工业还没能成为有力的增长点;固定资产形成的拉动力量增大,居民消费贡献稳定;区域经济呈现新格局,城镇在经济集聚中作用日益突出。还存在增长方式粗放,效率较低;培育自我发展能力进展缓慢;需求结构失调,农牧民消费乏力,社会投资仍未启动等问题。文章预测了2006年经济运行趋势,提出以市场为导向推进产业结构调整,扩大最终需求,提高科技水平,加速培育区域经济新格局等政策建议。According to the quantitive and qualitative analysis, the authors found that during the ＂tenth five year＂ period, Tibet＇s economy has developed dramatically to a high level but still with much obvious potential; capital investment and the third industry are the determining factors for economic increase; on the other hand, the rate of the contribution of technological progress has significantly decreased; industry has not yet become a strong increasing point; the pulling force of the formation of the fixed assets has increased; the contribution of the consumption of residents is stable; new patterns have developed in the regional economy. Of course, there are some problems that need to be solved during the ＂eleventh five year＂ plan, such as the extensive way of increase; low effectiveness; deep contradictions in the supply structure; the slow capability of self- development, etc. Therefore, the authors pointed out some policy proposals, such as pushing forward the adjustment of the industrial structure by taking the market as a guide; increasing final demand; improving technological levels; quickly fostering a new structure for the regional economy.

关 键 词：西藏 宏观经济 形势分析 “十五”时期 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]