2010年上海世博会场内人流模拟分析  

Research of Pedestrian Flow in the World Expo 2010 Shanghai Based on Internet Survey

作　　者：王德[1] 马力[1] 朱玮[2] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学建筑与城规学院 [2]荷兰埃茵霍芬理工大学建筑,营造与规划系

出　　处：《城市规划学刊》2006年第3期58-63,共6页Urban Planning Forum

摘　　要：以网上世博会参观调查的数据为基础,建立参观者参现行为的离散选择行为模型,对参现者的行为特征进行定量分析和归纳,并运用模型进行模拟,揭示了参观行为的规律,规划方案可能产生的参观人次、人流在空间上的不均衡,进而提出改进的建议。The study is based on the intemet survey which provides a visual World EXPO 2010 Shanghai for respondents to visit, The basic features of the visiting behaviors in the Expo are gotten from the survey. Then we build up a multinomial discrete choice model to study the visiting features further, like typical route and visiting preference and so on. Through simulating one day visiting, we find out the unbalance of visits distribution and pedestrian flow in the exhibition area, based on which we provide some suggestions to improve the planning.

关 键 词：世博会 离散选择模型 特征路径 人次分布 模拟 参观人流 

分 类 号：TU984.18[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]