中国经济发展与能源消费响应关系研究——基于相对“脱钩”与“复钩”理论的实证研究  

Responsive relationship between economic development and energy consumption in China——a practical research based on comparative de-link and re-link theory

作　　者：赵一平[1] 孙启宏[2] 段宁[2] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学,辽宁116023 [2]中国环境科学研究院,北京100012

出　　处：《科研管理》2006年第3期128-134,共7页Science Research Management

基　　金：国家科技攻关计划项目重大环境问题对策与关键支撑技术研究(2003BA614A-02;2003.1-2005.12);国家自然科学基金项目(70403008;2005.1-2007.12)

摘　　要：本文根据“脱钩”与“复钩”的基本思想,提出我国经济发展与能源消费相对“脱钩”与“复钩”的概念模型,并对我国经济发展与能源消费的响应关系进行实证研究,对我国能源弱“脱钩”现象背后存在的深层次问题及主要矛盾进行识别与分析。在此基础上对未来20年我国能源消费领域面临的问题、潜在的危机及发展战略进行预测分析。According to the basic theory of comparative de - link and re - link, this paper proposes a conceptual model of comparative de- link and re- link relationship and a empirical study is done on the responsive relations between Chinese economy development and energy consumption. The weak de - link relationship and an expensive re - link tendency between economy and energy are identified and some major problems and key factors are discussed accordingly. Potential crisis faced by China in the near future is forecasted and some conclusions are made in the end.

关 键 词：经济与能源 弱“脱钩” 扩张性“复钩” 实证研究 

分 类 号：F2[经济管理—国民经济] F4