物流运输景气指数的研究  

Research on Prosperity Index of Logistics Transportation

作　　者：魏众[1] 申金升[1] 张智文[2] 石定寰[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044 [2]中华人民共和国科学技术部,北京100862

出　　处：《公路交通科技》2006年第5期138-142,共5页Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development

基　　金：国家十五科技攻关项目(2004BA205A29)

摘　　要：针对物流运输的宏观调控问题,首先选取了能够客观反映物流运输景气程度的四类统计指标,然后定义了物流运输扩散指数和物流运输综合指数,最后基于近年相关统计数据,利用统计分析方法分别计算了物流运输扩散指数和物流运输综合指数。进而从定性与定量的角度把握物流运输市场运行的景气程度,以指数的形式反映物流运输的景气发展态势,通过直观化的物流运输景气指数图为政府和企业决策人员提供理论依据。The authors first choose four statistical indicators showing logistics and transportation conditions in terms of prosperity, then define logistics transportation diffusion index and logistics transportation composite index for the macro-control of logistics transportation, finally based on statistics data, calculate logistics transportation diffusion index and logistics transportation composite index by statistical analysis method, all of which help grasp logistics transportation conditions from a qualitative and quantitative perspective, reflect the status of logistics transportation market in index form and provide theoretic base for decision maker of the government and enterprises with visual index figure.

关 键 词：物流运输 景气指数 物流运输扩散指数 物流运输综合指数 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济] U492.313[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]