中国的贸易扩张及其对亚太地区贸易增长的贡献  

China’s Trade Expansion and Its Impact On the Asian Pacific Economies

作　　者：李坤望[1] 宋立刚[2] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学 [2]澳大利亚国立大学

出　　处：《经济学（季刊）》2006年第2期591-608,共18页China Economic Quarterly

摘　　要：本文以1990-2003年为考察时段，从总体和产业两个层面，对中国在亚太地区主要经济体出口增长中的贡献度进行实证评估。通过对各经济体出口增长来源的分解，我们发现亚太地区的贸易扩张越来越依赖于需求拉动的作用，而从需求方面看。中国对亚太地区贸易增长的贡献越来越大，对本地区经济的影响力已替代了日本。东盟对中国的依赖程度越来越高。一个以中国为中心的更加紧密的东亚地区贸易关系正在形成，这为今后该地区区域经济一体化的发展创造了一个良好的合作基础和利益来源。Employing a statistical method to decompose export growth into three components, the demand effect, the competitiveness effect and the location effect, this paper offers an assessment on the sources of export growth in the Asian pacific region and China＇s contributions to other economies＇ export expansion. The results show that the role of the demand effect is eminent and China＇s contribution to it is continuously on the rise since 1990. China has replaced Japan to become the main engine for the regional trade growth in the second half of the 1990s. The paper also shows that the increased demand in China tends to benefit more developed economies more than less developed economies in the region.

关 键 词：亚太地区 贸易扩张 国际产业关联效应 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易] F224[经济管理—产业经济]