预测水驱油田含水率的一种新方法  

A New Method for Predicting Water Cut in Water Flooded Oil Field

作　　者：马春生[1] 万宠文[1] 崔秀敏[1] 陶先高[1] 

机构地区：[1]中原油田分公司勘探开发研究院,河南濮阳457001

出　　处：《大庆石油地质与开发》2006年第3期43-44,共2页Petroleum Geology & Oilfield Development in Daqing

摘　　要：按照油田的客观规律预测开发指标,始终具有很重要的意义。基于水驱油田的含水上升规律,应用广义Usher模型进行含水率预测。通过矿场应用表明,较之其他模型该方法具有更广泛的适应性和灵活性,并提高了含水率的预测精度。To predict development indexes according to objective rules of oil fields always has much significance.Based on water cut rising rules of water flooded oil fields,this paper predicts water cut using generalized Usher model.Pilot application shows that,compared with other models,this method has more adaptability and flexibility and increases prediction accuracy of water cut.

关 键 词：广义Usher模型 含水率预测 最小二乘法 

分 类 号：TE329[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]