外贸依存度的影响因素分析及计算修正  

An Analysis of the Factors Affecting Foreign Trade Dependence and its Modification

作　　者：谢雯[1] 郑桂环[1] 郭丽[2] 张珣[1] 蒋雪梅[2] 徐山鹰[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100080 [2]中国科学院研究生院管理学院,北京100080

出　　处：《管理评论》2006年第6期54-57,共4页Management Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金委员会优秀创新群体基金项目资助(70221001);中国科学院管理;决策与信息系统重点实验室项目资助。

摘　　要：随着经济全球化的深入发展,客观分析外贸与经济之间的关系,有利于正确评估一国经济对外依赖程度。而外贸依存度作为最常用的指标之一,因与汇率、GDP水平和构成之间的关系使该值的客观性受到质疑。本文对这些影响因素分别进行深入的分析,利用一些已有的方法对外贸依存度计算公式进行修正,并对这些方法的计算结果进行比较。从结果来看,这些方法仍然存在很大的不足,有待进一步的探讨。With the rapid development of economic globalization,catching the relationship properly between foreign trade and economy has become an increasingly important issue.A study on this topic may be helpful for evaluating the dependence of an economy on world development. The objectivity of foreign trade dependence based on the general formulation is under suspicion for its relationship with exchange rate, GDP and its composition. In this paper, coupled with the investigation of these three factors, the corresponding existing modified methods are introduced to revise the general formulation. However, the modified result is not very well, and further exploring should be derived urgently.

关 键 词：外贸依存度 影响因素 修正 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]