GDP缩减指数是测度通货膨胀的可靠指标吗?  

Is GDP Deflator A Reliable Indicator to Measure Inflation

作　　者：徐强[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学统计系

出　　处：《统计研究》2006年第5期7-14,共8页Statistical Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"时间维度的价格与物量测度问题研究"(批准号:05CTJ002)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：GDP缩减指数有明显缺陷一负权数的存在会引起GDP缩减指数与真实价格水平的背离．使GDP缩减指数测度通货膨胀的可靠性受到质疑。文章通过对部分国家GDP缩减指数通货膨胀率与CPI通货膨胀率的比较得出,GDP缩减指数还不能作为一种可靠的指标来测度通货膨胀。The GDP deflator is an important macroeconomic indicator derived from national accounting. Though the GDP deflator isn＇t designed to measure inflation, it is widely used as an inflation indicator. There exists many differences between GDP deflator and other price indexes. The most important defect of GDP deflator is negative weight in the formula, which distorts true price movements. So this paper concludes the GDP deflator isn＇t a reliable inflation indicator.

关 键 词：GDP缩减指数 通货膨胀 负权数 

分 类 号：F222.33[经济管理—国民经济]