脆弱的权威:对体育专家调查研究方法的思考  

Weak Authoritativeness: the Thinking on the Investigation Research Method to Sports Experts

作　　者：李留东[1] 

机构地区：[1]温州大学体育学院,温州325035

出　　处：《天津体育学院学报》2006年第4期339-341,345,共4页Journal of Tianjin University of Sport

摘　　要：专家调查是体育科学研究中常用的方法之一,研究者往往基于专家的权威性,而忽视专家知识体系中的不确定性因素。针对现有不确定推理模型,结合专家知识不确定性在产生式规则系统中的体现,归纳出一种更接近体育专家处理不确定性和方便研究者理解与构造实例模型的不确定推理模型框架,以供体育专家及研究者斟酌。The method of Delphi was one of the methods that often can be used in sport science research.Researchers overlooked the uncertainty of expert knowledge because of the expert＇s authoritativeness. The author induced a kind of uncertain reasoning model that facilitated the sports experts and the researchers to handle the uncertainty and to construct the example models, on the basis of the existing uncertain reasoning models and the embodies that arise from the uncertainty of expert knowledge in the produce type rule system.

关 键 词：体育专家系统 不确定推理 产生式规则 模糊推理 

分 类 号：G80-05[文化科学—运动人体科学]