关税升级与中国汽车产业发展——基于空间经济学的经验研究  

Tariff Escalation and the Development of Chinese Automobile Industry

作　　者：宋玉华[1] 吴聃[2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学国际商务研究所 [2]浙江大学经济学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2006年第7期69-81,共13页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

摘　　要：本文利用中国与主要汽车生产国的汽车产业有关数据,在一个关税升级体系下垄断竞争产业发展模型的基础上,运用校准法进行了初步的经验研究。与以往汽车产业贸易政策基于寡占市场结构的经验研究不同,本文试图在垄断竞争市场结构下考察关税升级对中国汽车产业发展趋势的影响。研究表明,集合主要汽车生产国的数据后,汽车产业具有集聚发展的倾向,而我国目前较高程度的关税升级体系在其他条件不变的情况下,能够降低汽车产业实现大发展的临界条件。Using the data of automobile industry in China and major automobile producing countries, this paper made an empirical research by the methodology of calibration. The＇calibration is based on a model of monopolistic competition industry development under the tariff escalation. Different from those automobile trade policy literatures which based on oligopoly, this paper reveals tariff escalation＇s effect to Chinese automobile industry development based on the market structure of monopolistic competition. We found that after aggregating major automobile producing countries＇ related data, the aubomobile industry has a tendency of agglomeration. Furthermore, if other conditions remain unchanged, the higher tariff escalation in China can play down the critical condition of agglomeration.

关 键 词：关税升级 汽车产业发展 垄断竞争 校准法 

分 类 号：F745.0[经济管理—国际贸易]