灰色理论在煤层瓦斯含量预测中的应用  

Application of Grey Theory in Predicting Gas Content in Coal Seam

作　　者：叶青[1] 林柏泉[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学能源学院

出　　处：《矿业快报》2006年第7期28-30,共3页Express Information of Mining Industry

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(50134040)

摘　　要：应用灰色系统理论,建立了预测煤层瓦斯含量的灰色系统GM(1,1)模型,并用残差模型对预测模型进行了修正。在测定煤层瓦斯含量的基础上进行了实际应用。结果表明,该模型的计算精度符合工程精度要求,可用于矿井煤层瓦斯含量的预测。研究结果为采取针对性的瓦斯防治措施提供了技术依据,同时也为煤层瓦斯含量预测探讨了新的方法。The grey system GM（1,1） model for predicting gas content in coal seam is established by applying the grey system theory and the prediction model is modified with the residual model. The modified model is used based on measuring gas content. The application result shows that the calculation precision of the modified model can meet the precision requirements of the engineering, so the model can be used to predict the gas content in the coal seam of mines. The research results provide the technical basis for adopting relevant gas preventive measures, and at the same time, the results also provide the new method for predicting the gas content in the coal seam.

关 键 词：瓦斯含量 灰色理论 预测 防治 

分 类 号：TD712.3[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]